Nothing is as it Seems Mafia: The Game - Page 5

P-Sleazy · 12-10-2007, 01:44 AM

wtf. Stop bringing in people who aren't playing the game. Thats just making the game drag out longer than it has to. We need atleast 22 more votes before we can even lynch anyone, so lets not make it a 500 post day 1 shall we?

UNVOTE: B_REAL
VOTE: Demetrius

For bringing trying to divert the vote to a non-existant player (in that he's not playing this game).

And
FOS: Nayno

For placing the first vote on PB. Demetrius gets precedence because he brought it up first. Then he jumped on immediately after Nayno made the vote.

Demetrius · 12-10-2007, 01:49 AM

There we go, now you're back on track and I like it! The obvious answer is that we are going to have to wait the insane 7 days to reach the deadline and then an incredible number of people will die, then something similar will happen the next Day, unless someone claims mafia don and then more people will die. By Night 2 at least one of the mafias will be infiltrated by cult, and Night 1 I will be targeted by at least 2 killers/mafia.

So I say, do your worst B_real, there are just too damn many people right now.

Sithdarth · 12-10-2007, 04:11 AM

Vote: Ole' Dude with the Face

Out of four random choices he's got about a 46% chance of being in a mafia assuming that Fenris randomly assigned roles. Seeing as there is no evidence to go by as of yet I shall use probability theory.

For those of you that must know I applied the Hypergeometric distribution. I set the number of success to one and then calculated for 1-4 trials. Then I used the random number generator in the yaplet to generate 4 random selections from the player list. The third random choice happened to be Ole' Dude with the Face and so he's my choice.

34. has a 30% chance of being assigned to a mafia
39. has a 43% chance
30. has a 46% chance
27. has a 7% chance

This of course only works in regards to my random choices. If the dice had given me 4 different random choices in a different order then they would have these associated probabilities.

Demetrius · 12-10-2007, 04:32 AM

Sith is here, holy cow! That is about as predictable as his mathematical deductions!

Sithdarth · 12-10-2007, 04:42 AM

I'm up studying for my probability and stats final that'll be today at 10AM. I figured what better way to study than application.

Nayno · 12-10-2007, 05:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by B_real_shadows

FOS: Nayno

For placing the first vote on PB. Demetrius gets precedence because he brought it up first. Then he jumped on immediately after Nayno made the vote.

I suppose my vote was lacking justification. Honestly, I find it so unbelievable that Pink Bunny isn't in the game that I figure that PB must have a secret role.

Professor Smarmiarty · 12-10-2007, 06:43 AM

Why isn't Demetrius dead yet? This mafia sucks!

And Vote: SithDarth
Logic has no place in mafia, only wild accusations and name-calling!

***Fenris*** · 12-10-2007, 08:06 AM

Vote Count

bananarama (3)
neyo the king
Demetrius
DarthMauler

Skyshot (3)
Skyshot
Ole' Dude
Michael Valentine

Demetrius (2)
bananarama
B_real

B_real (2)
Doppler
Aerozord

Giever (1)
Bookie

Jeneralissimo (1)
wasoe

Ape Boy (1)
Tendronai

Tendronai (1)
Ape Boy

neyo the king (1)
Major Blood

Wasoe (1)
OctoberRaven

Ole' Dude (1)
Sithdarth

Sithdarth (1)
Barrel-Hating Sycophant

26 to lynch, day ends at 10:00 p.m. CST, Sunday December 16th.

Bailey · 12-10-2007, 08:09 AM

I can't deal with this nonsense yet.

I've got a test in two hours and after that I've got a final project to work on, and after that...

Yeah, whatever.

Vote: Demetrius because he irks me. I dunno.

Leave me alone until Wednesday!

Jeneralissimo · 12-10-2007, 08:10 AM

Vote: Wasoe

No picking on the quail, yo.

12-10-2007, 01:44 AM	#41
P-Sleazy Can Summon Sparkles by Posing! Join Date: May 2004 Location: Kinging it up! Posts: 2,339	wtf. Stop bringing in people who aren't playing the game. Thats just making the game drag out longer than it has to. We need atleast 22 more votes before we can even lynch anyone, so lets not make it a 500 post day 1 shall we? UNVOTE: B_REAL VOTE: Demetrius For bringing trying to divert the vote to a non-existant player (in that he's not playing this game). And FOS: Nayno For placing the first vote on PB. Demetrius gets precedence because he brought it up first. Then he jumped on immediately after Nayno made the vote. __________________ The King is your new master now. Totally returning for the Summer: a mafia Game: Sign ups HERE!

12-10-2007, 01:49 AM	#42
Demetrius In need of a vacation Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Peoples Republic of Vermont Posts: 3,236	There we go, now you're back on track and I like it! The obvious answer is that we are going to have to wait the insane 7 days to reach the deadline and then an incredible number of people will die, then something similar will happen the next Day, unless someone claims mafia don and then more people will die. By Night 2 at least one of the mafias will be infiltrated by cult, and Night 1 I will be targeted by at least 2 killers/mafia. So I say, do your worst B_real, there are just too damn many people right now. __________________ DFM, Demon seed of Hell who fuels its incredible power by butchering little girls and feeding on their innocence. Demetrius, Dark clown of the netherworld, a being of incalculable debauchery and a soulless, faceless evil as old as time itself. Zilla, The chick. ~DFM Wii bishie bishie kawaii baka! ~ Fifthfiend

12-10-2007, 04:32 AM	#44
Demetrius In need of a vacation Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Peoples Republic of Vermont Posts: 3,236	Sith is here, holy cow! That is about as predictable as his mathematical deductions! __________________ DFM, Demon seed of Hell who fuels its incredible power by butchering little girls and feeding on their innocence. Demetrius, Dark clown of the netherworld, a being of incalculable debauchery and a soulless, faceless evil as old as time itself. Zilla, The chick. ~DFM Wii bishie bishie kawaii baka! ~ Fifthfiend

12-10-2007, 08:06 AM	#48
*Fenris* Administrator Join Date: May 2005 Location: East Coast Posts: 6,806	Vote Count bananarama (3) neyo the king Demetrius DarthMauler Skyshot (3) Skyshot Ole' Dude Michael Valentine Demetrius (2) bananarama B_real B_real (2) Doppler Aerozord Giever (1) Bookie Jeneralissimo (1) wasoe Ape Boy (1) Tendronai Tendronai (1) Ape Boy neyo the king (1) Major Blood Wasoe (1) OctoberRaven Ole' Dude (1) Sithdarth Sithdarth (1) Barrel-Hating Sycophant 26 to lynch, day ends at 10:00 p.m. CST, Sunday December 16th. __________________ "FENRIS IS AN ASSHOLE" - shiney

12-10-2007, 08:10 AM	#50
Jeneralissimo Happy quails come from California Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Neverwhere Posts: 682	Vote: Wasoe No picking on the quail, yo. __________________ Hey, if they expected writers to know grammar, they wouldn't hire editors. ~ Fifthfiend *Warning: Long-time exposure to chat8bit has been known to cause severe brain damage, mental retardation, seizures, eyeball bleeding, violent fits, spontaneous combustion, death, reanimation, and a total disregard for physics. ~ RZ

12-10-2007, 04:11 AM	#43
Sithdarth Friendly Neighborhood Quantum Hobo Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: Outside the M-brane look'n in Posts: 5,403	Vote: Ole' Dude with the Face Out of four random choices he's got about a 46% chance of being in a mafia assuming that Fenris randomly assigned roles. Seeing as there is no evidence to go by as of yet I shall use probability theory. For those of you that must know I applied the Hypergeometric distribution. I set the number of success to one and then calculated for 1-4 trials. Then I used the random number generator in the yaplet to generate 4 random selections from the player list. The third random choice happened to be Ole' Dude with the Face and so he's my choice. 34. has a 30% chance of being assigned to a mafia 39. has a 43% chance 30. has a 46% chance 27. has a 7% chance This of course only works in regards to my random choices. If the dice had given me 4 different random choices in a different order then they would have these associated probabilities.

12-10-2007, 04:42 AM	#45
Sithdarth Friendly Neighborhood Quantum Hobo Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: Outside the M-brane look'n in Posts: 5,403	I'm up studying for my probability and stats final that'll be today at 10AM. I figured what better way to study than application.

12-10-2007, 06:43 AM	#47
Professor Smarmiarty Sent to the cornfield Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: K-space Posts: 9,758	Why isn't Demetrius dead yet? This mafia sucks! And Vote: SithDarth Logic has no place in mafia, only wild accusations and name-calling!

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