Quote:
|
Originally Posted by spontaneous combustion
I said that I would claim a scum immediately if I found him, because I have already roleclaimed.
My point is this. EVERY roleclaim this early in the game is going to seem phony or defensive, because there is very little information to counteract that. This is true for roleclaims later in the game as well, although to a lesser extent. Essentially what a roleclaim comes down to is the potential gain vs the potential loss, as well as the estimated damage that could come from letting that person live on more night. Hypothetically speaking, IF I am the Don, as many have asserted, then the mafia would receive a nightkill regardless of whether I am lynched or not. If am not mafia, and the P.O., then the upside from my continued life is huge compared to the nearly nonexistant risk this early in the game.
Which is worse? Killing your P.O. because of a botched role/roleclaim, or lynching scum a turn later than was actually possible. Another scenario is that the Don is lynched randomly tonight, and I don't have to reveal a potentially beneficial role to the town because of allayed suspicion.
|
That line of thinking assumes there is an equal chance you are mafia or you are cop, which I don't think is true, and your roleclaim of being a PO doesn't make much sense to me since Willem Dafoe's character would clearly be a PO and I doubt each of the 3 detectives would be POs.
Also my general policy is when someone claims to have a PO role and found a mafiate and it doesn't look like they have any real reason to lie is to believe them and test their claim.
I am kind of suspicious of the production designer actually being a role but again I see no reason for Ecurt to have lied since the risks definitely outweigh the rewards here and I don't see how if ecurt is telling the truth about his role that he would get incorrect results.
Unvote: Selfish Philanthropic, Vote: spontaneous combustion
There can only be one!
03-05-2008, 05:40 PM
Threaded Mode