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Unread 10-07-2007, 08:36 PM   #101
Ape Boy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nayno
Day 1 is not appropriate for lurker lynches.
Why wouldn't it be? It's a pretty safe lynch early to earn some coming flavor text and actions from the night so we can work toward productive lynches.
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Unread 10-07-2007, 08:37 PM   #102
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Because 90% of the time a lurker lynch on day one is a vanilla townie.
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Unread 10-07-2007, 08:40 PM   #103
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I don't really think that lynching Lunaknight each and every time we don't have any leads on day one is really fair, personally.
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Unread 10-07-2007, 08:42 PM   #104
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pink Bunny
Because 90% of the time a lurker lynch on day one is a vanilla townie.
From my experience playing these games, the percentage of day one townie lynches approaches 90% by itself.

If it weren't for Luna, it'd probably be closer to 95%.
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Unread 10-07-2007, 08:43 PM   #105
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That's agreeable.
But then he already tried to get himself lynched if you noticed. This isn't the random run of the mill of "Oh well, kill him", he baited this one.

Which is the exact reason I'm not voting him because I'm afraid he's got a vengeance role because I've said repeatedly in lots of games it'd be funny if a GM gave him one, and now suddenly he's all "KILL MEEEE" this game.
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Unread 10-07-2007, 08:59 PM   #106
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here's some data on 10 day one lynches excluding games in which majority of people were scum or everyone was town. Note: Some of the people weren't actually lynched due to unlynchability.

Dragon Lance- LHN town
Totally rigged- Ogianres, town
House of cards- B_real, town
Superhero Mafia-Newb, Mafiate
Kingdom hearts mafia- Red Fighter, Mafiate
Video Game Mafia- Demetrius, SK
Warcraft Mafia- Lunaknight, town
Spiderman Mafia- Lunaknight, Mafia
Themeless- Bookie, Jester
Complete insanity- Doc Ock, town

we actually have a 50% scum hit rate for day one lynches in these games.
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Unread 10-07-2007, 09:02 PM   #107
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Yeah, i wasn't a SK in VG Mafia, I was a mentalist and got banned, allowing Mesden to reveal me... I finally had a role I could screw around with and I died...
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Unread 10-07-2007, 09:04 PM   #108
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Well, sure, it isn't fair to lynch Lunaknight every time... which is why I usually don't go after him unless he puts off a really strong vibe. But it's not fair to lynch the newbie either before he gets a chance to defend himself. It's only been four days anyway and this thread took long enough to go up; we should give him the benefit of the doubt for today and possibly lynch lurkers later on. 'Sides, if he doesn't log on it's not like he's going to be sending in any night roles.
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Warcraft Mafia - Serial Killer, self-aligned, died night 5
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Unread 10-07-2007, 09:04 PM   #109
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I can't help but notice that each player listed isn't much of a Lurker, at least when accused or brought up on a chopping block. The only person on that list I wouldn't be able to confirm/say that with is Ogianres.

The rest are active and say stuff. I'm not saying no-lynch, I haven't really picked yet. But I am saying that usually a lynch on a lurker on day 1 is a vanilla townie. I'm pretty sure that's where Nayno's going with this too.
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Unread 10-07-2007, 09:07 PM   #110
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pink Bunny
Has anyone ever claimed those though?
I've seen a Miller claim. Not here, obviously, but it has happened. It was really sad.
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