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Unread 01-13-2006, 05:03 AM   #211
Mesden
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nique
Good vote. Desisive, simple. I like that.

I'm torn between Psycho and Mestizio. And then I have the sneaking suspician that the mafia is barely involved at all, and we're just killing ourselves... But what else can we do?



Psycho and Mest. are my two primary suspects, but if mest. holds her psycho vote, that means that they can't both be mafia. Mestizio shows consistent behavior in voting (once agreeing with PM, and then with me) whereas psycho mantis has not becuase 1)he's innocent or 2)the mafia's strategy had to change to give my previous arguments less credibility.

I think I'm giving psycho too much credit - I don't know that he would think as far ahead as I was suggesting. Mestizio, however, has supported two lynchings heavily, and one innocent lyching of those two, but has remained out of the spotlight, as it were. I think what happened was once I started pointing fingers, she supported me to kind of stroke my ego, and give me the confidence to continue my accusation of PM. Her agreement gave others confidence in my arguments, and before you know it I'm at the head of a well-developed mafia scheme. Its perfect - they go unnoticed as mere 'support' and then all the other towksfolk and mafia jump on the lynch bandwagon to kill an innocent. It's another assumption based theory, but I think this would be a good way to do things if I was in the mafia.
But at this point are you giving me to much credit. People are lynched because they have the most evidence put against them. At the beginning PM seemed the most likely, but had a very good rebuttal. And with that rebuttal he seemed to convince half the forum. And now I'm back on PM because it seems he is most likely. So now your putting the spotlight on me for agreeing with the best arguments? I guess I does seem a little scummy at first to be in agreement with both lynchings, but it's not like I hopped on the band wagon just to get rid of someone. I was just the second supporter in both cases because I brought further circumstantial evidence after the main points had been made. The mafia obviously want townspeople gone, but every else wants the mafia gone. In a situation like this it would seem obvious that the first person to start an accusation has the highest chance of being mafia. In this case it was PM and I. Even though I haven't started any accusations yet I have supported the most plausible opinoins. One of which has been wrong. But the same apllies to 9 other people. I'm a very logical person and if it's the most logical answer, I go for it.(did that sound a little mafia-esque? Ohwell.)
And now PM comes with a good rebuttal to his problem like he did last time on Newb. But now I have Nique on my ass and he seems to be running townspeople induced things. I go with the info other people have given me that seems to work. Earlier PM seemed the worst possible person and then Newb and now I am kinda like Newb. Except for the fact that PM didn't target me. Nique did bacause PM, once again came through with a good reason and unvoted somebody. Pm is thinking the right way for a townie at this point so I'm giving him some slack. Even if it means I'm going.
Unvote:Psycho Mantis
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Unread 01-13-2006, 06:19 AM   #212
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EDIT: Checked my PM, I assume that I'm currently in the game.

After sifting through most the stuff that happened that after Day 1, I have seen that we currently have Psycho Mantis as a prime suspect, followed by Mestizio. At the moment, Psycho Mantis has a large amount of votes. In any case, the most active people are Psycho Mantis, The wizard Who Did It, The Wondering God, Nique, Raiden and Mestizio. The problem here is everyone who is posting is not acting too scummy. Those who haven't posted much can't be analyzed. At the moment, I feel that attacking PM is not worth it. We could see who Psycho Mantis tries to attack(since whoever this person is will most likely die) and then base our thoughts on the identity of whoever PM attacks. It seems highly unlikely that the mafia would attack each other even if it was to gain the trust of the townies. Thus, if it is a mafia, I'm inclined to believe that Psycho Mantis is not scummy. If it is a townie, then my guess is that he is mafia, having twice attacked a townie. Because my strategy revolves around seeing who PM attacks, currently I'll be holding my vote.

Last edited by SpoonyBard; 01-13-2006 at 06:48 AM.
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Unread 01-13-2006, 07:03 AM   #213
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I go to sleep, and over 15 pages turn up. God I hate being in a different time zone. Anyway, after looking through the thread I've found something strange: whenever Silly Kitty accuses someone, it's after a goodly amount of people have done the same. Another thing that I have noticed is that her posts tend to be short, and unobtrusive, while still saying enough to keep suspicions awat from her. I might be looking too far into it, but something about her posts in this so far give off the wrong feeling. I'm not going to wait longer before making a vote, but FoS on Silly Kitty.
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Unread 01-13-2006, 07:48 AM   #214
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Now that I have actually recieved enough sleep, and a test is out of the way (Not midterms thought ) I will be able to contribute better.


As of now I am going to say

Unvote: Psycho Mantis

Why? For a few reasons.

Firstly as stated I really doubt he is mafia, Psycho while having lead the lynching for newb, did so because Newb was so vocal, and accusative. Right now he, Nique, Kiki, TWWDY, Raiden, Wandering, and Mestizio are the figurative giants, each has been participating if not on the same amount. If you have to lynch one person for "Being to smart" you would have to lynch them all, which of course is unacceptable and is not a good way to go about this game.

Personally I after further reflection I do not feel very much so that Psycho is Mafia, he is right in the fact that he is too far in the open for a smart person like him to be mafia, he's taking too many risks doing too many things that a person of his calibur would not do if he was mafia. Also he has been very consistant in his votes, he has no changed votes based on the newest arguments, and he is adamant on what he wants to do not changing as said, which is uncharacteristic of a non mafia.

So for those reasons I unvoted for him, when i get to my next opurtunity to type I shall change my vote most likely to Mestizio.
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Unread 01-13-2006, 08:00 AM   #215
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You know what Psycho Mantis? Screw you and your innocent sounding posts and your analytical capabilities.* To Pyros though, the reason he could be being vocal is because he actually is mafia and the best way to trick us is to act like any mafia would be too stupid to do. Just some food for thought. However, I feel that he is not mafia, so...

Unvote: Psycho Mantis

*Not in actual anger. Good job, I no longer doubt you. You prove me wrong and swift anger will follow.
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Unread 01-13-2006, 08:05 AM   #216
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The problem is we can argue that fact back and forth, its circular logic that unless we actually know what he is we can't tell what he is doing. It's like saying "I know that you know that I know that you know that I know that you know that I know that you know".
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Unread 01-13-2006, 08:08 AM   #217
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Exactly. That's why I suggested that we all wait for Psycho Mantis to stop defending himself and actually accuse someone. Unless Psycho Mantis himself is planning on playing a waiting game...
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Unread 01-13-2006, 08:49 AM   #218
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Now we are kinda aimless and anyone who makes a move will be considered suspect. I'll

Unvote: Psycho Mantis

for now.

But now who? I'm kinda suspicous of Silly Kitty and Patrat. I'm slightly less suspcious of Mestizo. Hmmmmm.

Well, it seems like we've gotten kind of bogged down. And we have a limited amount of time to decide who swings.

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Unread 01-13-2006, 10:51 AM   #219
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Silly Kitty has been the person I've been most suspicious of since the "Do what the popular people do." Then did it again. And after I said I was watching him he lessened his posting. Possibly just fear, but deserves notice.
And does anyone have a vote count.
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Unread 01-13-2006, 11:39 AM   #220
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I'm glad everyone has shown up. Now things can really get interesting.

Also, thanks to everyone for taking the time to read my monsterous posts. I know its a lot of work.

Also, as I promised, I will be offering no accusations or votes this turn.
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