My Little Pony: Friendship is Mafia - Page 117

Ryanderman · 10-10-2011, 03:35 PM

Yeah, but I don't think him thinking I am mafia is enough reason to not go with that plan. I think there's likely some other reason he thinks the plan is bad, and why I would be suggesting it, if I'm mafia.

Ryanderman · 10-10-2011, 03:36 PM

Or, it could be as simple as that.

Sifright · 10-10-2011, 03:36 PM

Well at this point SK is the biggest threat to mafia as with the vig it gives the chance for three mafia deaths a day night cycle.

Ryanderman · 10-10-2011, 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sifright

Well at this point SK is the biggest threat to mafia as with the vig it gives the chance for three mafia deaths a day night cycle.

Yeah, I'm just still not convinced the SK will actually go after mafia. If I thought going after mafia made the most sense for SK, I wouldn't have pushed so hard to lynch rpgdemon. No one's actually tried to counter, or show me flaws in my reasoning. Just flat disagreed.

IHateMakingNames · 10-10-2011, 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryanderman

If I thought going after mafia made the most sense for SK, I wouldn't have pushed so hard to lynch rpgdemon. No one's actually tried to counter, or show me flaws in my reasoning. Just flat disagreed.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sifright

Nikose

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sifright

effort to stop a lynch wagon that was forming around Nikose.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fenris

17. Ryanderman

Sifright · 10-10-2011, 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryanderman

Yeah, I'm just still not convinced the SK will actually go after mafia. If I thought going after mafia made the most sense for SK, I wouldn't have pushed so hard to lynch rpgdemon. No one's actually tried to counter, or show me flaws in my reasoning. Just flat disagreed.

Basically it comes down to a lack of town targets, Julford is inactive and has done nothing presumably he is town. So that drops us to 8 townies capable of voting. Assume we are wrong and Nikose is town. That drops us to 7. Mafia kill again during the night bam instantly down to 6 town votes the next day meaning mafia control day lynchs and night kills. Mafia really really want the SK and the VIG dead because it gives them much much easier time. Sk wants to kill mafia because they are a cohesive voting block with their power waxxing each day that one of their members doesn't die.

If mafiates aren't killed this game day/night They have won.

***Fenris*** · 10-10-2011, 03:58 PM

Vote count!

Nikose 6
Sifright
Gregness
IHMN
Hawk
Ryanderman
Verifiedz

Ryanderman 1
rpgdemon

rpgdemon 1
Bard

greed 3
Aldurin
Revolving Ocelot
Karesh

Gregness 1
Nikose

8 To Lynch, deadline tomorrow night!

btw 3 people got up to 6 votes. It was pretty fantastic.

Ryanderman · 10-10-2011, 03:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sifright

Basically it comes down to a lack of town targets, Julford is inactive and has done nothing presumably he is town. So that drops us to 8 townies capable of voting. Assume we are wrong and Nikose is town. That drops us to 7. Mafia kill again during the night bam instantly down to 6 town votes the next day meaning mafia control day lynchs and night kills. Mafia really really want the SK and the VIG dead because it gives them much much easier time. Sk wants to kill mafia because they are a cohesive voting block with their power waxxing each day that one of their members doesn't die.

If mafiates aren't killed this game day/night They have won.

That's an excellent argument for why mafia would want the SK dead, and why the town shouldn't focus on the SK right now. I was trying to look at it from the SK's perspective, but I didn't take into account how close the mafia is to gaining a majority. That is really close. The SK is going to feel pressure from that, and I could see how he would swing toward mafia targets, even though he'll also be feeling a need to eliminate the town roles that can out him.

I really didn't realize how close the mafia was.

So given that there is a fair chance the SK will try to hit mafia, and given how close the mafia is to getting a majority, I can wholeheartedly support a Nikose lynch today. Still think having Gregness block rpgdemon would be a good thing, but not going to push for it.

As for IHMN, all I can say is that it wasn't about pulling a lynch off Nikose, but because I'd convinced myself the SK was, while maybe not the bigger threat, the threat that should be dealt with first, since the effects of elimintating him would be immediate, while it'll take time to eliminate the mafia. I guess I was wrong, but I was trying to be helpful.

Bard The 5th LW · 10-10-2011, 03:59 PM

Whats that IHMN, Billy fell down a well? Lead the way boy!

Anyways, I got some backlog to read, but my thoughts on the SK thing: it seems unlikely to me that roleblocking RPG will be successful, especially when its been reuqested to do it. If I was SK, I'd just totally not kill anyone to make it look like the roleblock was successful.

Ryanderman · 10-10-2011, 03:59 PM

I unvoted rpgdemon and voted Nikose in separate posts.

10-10-2011, 03:35 PM	#1161
Ryanderman Beard of Leadership Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 827	Yeah, but I don't think him thinking I am mafia is enough reason to not go with that plan. I think there's likely some other reason he thinks the plan is bad, and why I would be suggesting it, if I'm mafia. __________________ ~Your robot reminds me of you. You tell it to stop, it turns. You tell it to turn, it stops. You tell it to take out the trash, it watches reruns of Firefly.~

10-10-2011, 03:36 PM	#1162
Ryanderman Beard of Leadership Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 827	Or, it could be as simple as that. __________________ ~Your robot reminds me of you. You tell it to stop, it turns. You tell it to turn, it stops. You tell it to take out the trash, it watches reruns of Firefly.~

10-10-2011, 03:58 PM	#1167
*Fenris* Administrator Join Date: May 2005 Location: East Coast Posts: 6,806	Vote count! Nikose 6 Sifright Gregness IHMN Hawk Ryanderman Verifiedz Ryanderman 1 rpgdemon rpgdemon 1 Bard greed 3 Aldurin Revolving Ocelot Karesh Gregness 1 Nikose 8 To Lynch, deadline tomorrow night! btw 3 people got up to 6 votes. It was pretty fantastic. __________________ "FENRIS IS AN ASSHOLE" - shiney

10-10-2011, 03:59 PM	#1170
Ryanderman Beard of Leadership Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 827	I unvoted rpgdemon and voted Nikose in separate posts. __________________ ~Your robot reminds me of you. You tell it to stop, it turns. You tell it to turn, it stops. You tell it to take out the trash, it watches reruns of Firefly.~

10-10-2011, 03:36 PM	#1163
Sifright Fact sphere is the most handsome Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,108	Well at this point SK is the biggest threat to mafia as with the vig it gives the chance for three mafia deaths a day night cycle.

10-10-2011, 03:59 PM	#1169
Bard The 5th LW Feelin' Super! Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 4,191	Whats that IHMN, Billy fell down a well? Lead the way boy! Anyways, I got some backlog to read, but my thoughts on the SK thing: it seems unlikely to me that roleblocking RPG will be successful, especially when its been reuqested to do it. If I was SK, I'd just totally not kill anyone to make it look like the roleblock was successful.